{"id":39404,"date":"2023-02-07T12:16:49","date_gmt":"2023-02-07T13:16:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/?p=39404"},"modified":"2023-02-07T14:38:23","modified_gmt":"2023-02-07T14:38:23","slug":"rainmaking-experiments-boom-amid-worsening-drought","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/2023\/02\/07\/rainmaking-experiments-boom-amid-worsening-drought\/","title":{"rendered":"Rainmaking experiments boom amid worsening drought"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As rain clouds swelled over Fort Stockton, Texas, last summer, a little yellow plane zipped through the sky. It was on a mission.<\/p>\n<p>Equipped with tanks of water and special nozzles on its wings, the craft soared beneath the gray-white billows. Then, at just the right moment, it released a spray of electrically charged water particles into the cloud.<\/p>\n<p>The goal? To squeeze some extra rain from the West Texas sky.<\/p>\n<section class=\"single-ads-list\">\n<div class=\"container my-5\">\n<div class=\"row justify-content-center\">\n                <small class=\"position-absolute\">Advertisement<\/small><\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p>\u201cWater\u2019s becoming very valuable and more and more scarce,\u201d said Dan Martin, a research engineer with Department of Agriculture\u2019s Agricultural Research Service who helped invent the technology.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a new spin on a decades-old practice known as \u201ccloud seeding,\u201d or efforts to boost precipitation by spraying special particles into the air. It\u2019s one of the world\u2019s most popular forms of weather modification, and it\u2019s practiced across much of the western U.S., as well as China, Russia, parts of the Middle East and other countries.<\/p>\n<p>Developing new and improved forms of cloud seeding has taken on a greater urgency in recent years. Severe drought around the world, worsened by the steady progression of climate change, has sparked a growing interest in innovative forms of water management from researchers, governments and corporate giants.<\/p>\n<p>Cloud seeding can be relatively cheap compared with other water management strategies, like desalination, a chemical process that removes salts and other minerals from water to make it safe for drinking.<\/p>\n<p>But there\u2019s a catch. It\u2019s notoriously difficult to design experiments that demonstrate how well the technology actually works (<a href=\"https:\/\/subscriber.politicopro.com\/article\/eenews\/2021\/03\/16\/8-states-are-tweaking-the-weather-and-it-might-not-work-004274\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><i>Climatewire<\/i><\/a>, March 16, 2021).<\/p>\n<p>Even as researchers work to develop more effective forms of cloud seeding, scientists say it\u2019s hard to tell for sure if it makes a difference.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s no question that cloud seeding works \u2014 but the question is how much do we really produce?\u201d said Katja Friedrich, an atmospheric scientist and cloud seeding expert at the University of Colorado, Boulder.<\/p>\n<p>Cloud seeding hasn\u2019t changed much since the technology was first demonstrated in the 1940s.<\/p>\n<p>Clouds form as water droplets condense in the sky. Certain types of particles are good at attracting water or ice and, in theory, can help speed the process along. Silver iodide and other kinds of salt particles have been commonly used in cloud seeding for decades.<\/p>\n<p>But the idea of using charged water particles is relatively new.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s rooted in a simple theory. The bottoms of rain clouds are naturally filled with negatively charged water. Hit the cloud with a stream of positively charged particles and the water droplets will \u201ccollide and coalesce,\u201d Martin said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDo that enough times and it creates precipitable rain,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p>Last summer\u2019s flights over Texas were the latest tests in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ars.usda.gov\/oc\/dof\/seeding-the-skies-harvesting-rain\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">USDA research project<\/a> that\u2019s been ongoing for several years. Meanwhile, research groups around the world are working on similar projects aimed at juicing the effectiveness of cloud seeding operations.<\/p>\n<p>Some, like Martin\u2019s, are using electrical charges.<\/p>\n<p>Researchers at Britain\u2019s University of Reading and University of Bath used drones to zap clouds with electrical pulses. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uaerep.ae\/en\/app\/page\/570\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The project<\/a>, which began in 2017, was bankrolled by the United Arab Emirates and concluded last year.<\/p>\n<p>Another <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uaerep.ae\/en\/app\/page\/540\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">UAE-funded project<\/a> is experimenting with nanotechnology, by seeding clouds with special nanoengineered particles. The emirates is funding a separate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.uaerep.ae\/en\/app\/page\/651\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"Enhancement rte2-style-brightspot-rte-link-LinkRichTextElement rte2-style-brightspot-rte-link-LinkRichTextElement-start rte2-style-brightspot-rte-link-LinkRichTextElement-end\" rel=\"noopener\">effort<\/a> that uses artificial intelligence to build algorithms that can more accurately predict the kinds of weather conditions best suited for cloud seeding.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"story-text__heading-large\">Rain for oil?<\/h4>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/malaysia-southeast-asia-haze-75949-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"A Malaysian soldier watches water and salt shoot from pipes on a plane.\" title=\"A Malaysian soldier watches water and salt shoot from pipes on a plane.\" data-licensor-id=\"\" data-licensor-name=\"AP\" data-syndication-rights=\"false\" data-attribution=\"AP Photo\/Vincent Thian\" data-caption=\"A Malaysian military plane conducts a cloud seeding operation in an attempt to clear haze from plantation fires by shooting water and salt into the sky in 2019.\" \/><figcaption>A Malaysian military plane conducts a cloud seeding operation in an attempt to clear haze from plantation fires by shooting water and salt into the sky in 2019. | AP Photo\/Vincent Thian<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>At least 19 firms, research institutions or individuals have patented some form of cloud seeding tech since 2018, according to an E&amp;E News review of international patents. The \u201caerial electrostatic system for weather modification\u201d that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freepatentsonline.com\/20210352856.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Martin invented<\/a> and is now testing is included in that tally.<\/p>\n<p>Several companies have also taken an interest.<\/p>\n<p>Last March, the Saudi Arabian Oil Co. \u2014 the world\u2019s third-most valuable publicly traded firm \u2014 obtained a U.S. patent for generating rain \u201cto support water flooding in remote oil fields.\u201d Drillers need water to test wells and increase oil production. But that resource can be hard to come by in the desert environments where the company, also known as Saudi Aramco, mainly operates.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.freepatentsonline.com\/11274534.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The process Saudi Aramco patented<\/a> would seed clouds using silver iodide or other materials and then collect the rainfall in reservoirs it could draw on to boost oil production. It\u2019s unclear if the oil giant has deployed the process. Saudi Aramco declined to comment for this story.<\/p>\n<p>Weather modification startup WeatherTec AG is another example. Based in Zug, Switzerland, with offices in Germany and Jordan, the company uses giant umbrella-shaped devices to charge humidity and clouds with what it says are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weathertec-services.com\/technology.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rain-producing ions<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>WeatherTec\u2019s patents \u2014 obtained from the <a href=\"https:\/\/patentimages.storage.googleapis.com\/54\/13\/8b\/40755a298ebdea\/EP3994976A1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">European Patent Office<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/patentimages.storage.googleapis.com\/c3\/e1\/9c\/d2f7c04e0e1ece\/WO2022003028A1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the World Intellectual Property Organization<\/a> \u2014 appear to be for new devices that it isn\u2019t yet marketing to potential customers. The company didn\u2019t respond to requests for comment.<\/p>\n<p>In 2019, U.S. aircraft maker <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freepatentsonline.com\/10314249.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Boeing Co. received a U.S. patent<\/a> on \u201ca system for use in inducing rainfall.\u201d A Boeing spokesperson declined to elaborate on how the company is using the system, if at all.<\/p>\n<p>Much of the recent explosion in new cloud seeding research has originated in the UAE, according to Friedrich, the University of Colorado scientist.<\/p>\n<p>The country has experimented with cloud seeding for decades, and its Research Program for Rain Enhancement Science (UAEREP) has awarded grants for at least 11 different research projects involving weather modification since 2015. Awarded projects receive up to $1.5 million in funding distributed over three years.<\/p>\n<p>Cloud-seeding research has historically been dominated by commercial companies rather than independent scientists, Keri Nicoll, a University of Reading researcher working on the UAE-funded drone project, said in an email. That\u2019s begun to change. Recent funding initiatives like UAEREP \u201chave really driven research in this area forward in the last 5-6 years,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p>Temperatures are rising faster than the global average across much of the Middle East, and precipitation is declining. Studies suggest that droughts will grow increasingly severe as the region continues to warm.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThey are heavily investing into cloud seeding because of obvious reasons,\u201d Friedrich said. \u201cThey need the water.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>China, which has also recently struggled with record-breaking drought, is emerging as another front-runner in altering the weather. In 2020, the country announced plans to rapidly expand its national weather modification program to encompass an area covering more than 2 million square miles.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"story-text__heading-large\">\u2018Not the Holy Grail\u2019<\/h4>\n<p>Interest in new cloud-seeding technology is growing in the western United States, as well. Friedrich attributes that in part to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.1917204117\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">groundbreaking study<\/a> she co-authored in 2020. It was one of the first research papers to quantitatively demonstrate that cloud seeding works.<\/p>\n<p>To show a real effect, scientists must prove that the rainfall from a seeded cloud wouldn\u2019t have happened without the seeding. That requires two sets of experiments using identical types of clouds in the same location under the same conditions \u2014 one with seeding and one without.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s difficult to accomplish in the real world, where weather conditions are constantly changing. For decades, scientists have relied mainly on statistical studies instead. Typically, that involves seeding a cloud in one location while monitoring unseeded clouds in nearby locations and comparing the results. Those findings are less scientifically convincing \u2014 but they\u2019re a start.<\/p>\n<p>Statistical studies have suggested that cloud-seeding operations may boost rainfall by as much as 15 or 20 percent.<\/p>\n<p>But Friedrich\u2019s project, which took place in Idaho\u2019s Payette River Basin in 2017, managed to luck into a nearly perfect experiment. Local weather conditions allowed it to compare the effects of seeding clouds in the same location for three days straight. In that time, scientists estimated that the seeded clouds produced about 286 Olympic swimming pools\u2019 worth of snow.<\/p>\n<p>The project effectively proved that cloud seeding works. But how well it works is another question. It doesn\u2019t prove that the same amount of rain or snow would fall in different places under different conditions.<\/p>\n<p>Scientists can use data from experiments like Friedrich\u2019s to build models that simulate cloud seeding operations, helping answer those questions. But in the absence of such data, many research projects still rely on statistical studies.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s not a perfect solution. But some limited data appears to be promising. Trials of Martin\u2019s charged-water technology, for instance, suggest that it might be twice as effective as conventional cloud seeding efforts.<\/p>\n<p>Still, even if cloud seeding can marginally increase Western water supplies, it has its limits. For one thing, it requires clouds, making it less useful during droughts.<\/p>\n<p>That makes it a strategy that requires lots of advance planning, Martin said. It should be used to shore up water supplies before drought strikes.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost people don\u2019t think about the need for cloud seeding when times are good \u2014 when we have ample rainfall,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s when we have times of drought that they think about it, but by then it\u2019s too late.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>And since there\u2019s still great uncertainty about how well even conventional cloud-seeding technologies work, Friedrich cautions that \u201cyou don\u2019t want to put all your eggs into this one basket.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Cloud seeding could prove useful as one tool in the arsenal \u2014 but water managers should have other strategies in hand.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf I were a water manager, I would consider it,\u201d Friedrich said. \u201cBut this is not the Holy Grail or what really solves all the problems.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As rain clouds swelled over Fort Stockton, Texas, last summer, a little yellow plane zipped<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39406,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39404"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39404"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39404\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39407,"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39404\/revisions\/39407"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39406"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39404"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39404"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peymantaeidi.net\/stem-cell\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39404"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}